According to the Federal Reserve’s higher interest rates depends mainly on two factors: inflation is expected to be 2%, and significantly improved the employment situation.
United States Federal Reserve Board rate of the two-day Conference, held on October 27, Beijing time, October 29, at 2 o’clock in the morning and will announce rate decision outcome.
Judging from the present analysis, in the context of global central banks race to loose, the meeting of the Federal Reserve decision to raise interest rates may not be large. Bloomberg data shows that traders believe that the probability of this week’s meeting of the Federal Reserve raising interest rates 4%, possibility of a rate hike in December is 33%. As planned, the Fed’s next rate meeting will be held December 16-17th.
According to the Federal Reserve’s higher interest rates depends mainly on two factors: inflation is expected to exceed 2%; substantially improved the employment situation. But the latest data does not support this. Fed officials said before the meeting, most of them waiting for more data.
Surging News (www.thepaper.CN) has arranged the vote of the Federal open market Committee’s 10 members view shows that have 5 members consider that to wait 4 people think that should be the end of interest rate hikes.
A more important point is that the Fed’s September rate meeting, with particular emphasis on the other parts of the World Bank’s policies and the impact of market fluctuations on interest rates.
In the near future, the world’s major central banks have taken the easing measures. Central Bank direct Frost cycle select “double flat”, cut and drop. On October 22, the European Central Bank suggested that further easing. Markets also predicted that Japan’s Central Bank also acted on the Council meeting on Friday, Tuesday, Australia’s Central Bank cut interest rates more likely.
Among them, the rate of the European Central Bank Governor Mario Draghi on October 22, hinted at the possibility of further interest rate cuts after the meeting, made clear the ECB would review at the December meeting of the European Central Bank monetary policy accommodative levels. Expected the ECB will this year expand the stimulus, is the most likely way to extend the QE (quantitative easing) deadline to QE to the end. The European Central Bank implementation of € 60 billion per month since March this year’s bond-buying program, in accordance with a previous plan to continue at least until September 2016. However, the slow recovery of the European economy, forcing the ECB further easing.
China’s “double down” on the Fed’s influence is obvious. Press Conference after the September rate meeting of the Federal Reserve, Federal Reserve Chairman, Yellen said, the slowdown in China’s economy, and influence the decisions of the fed to keep interest rates unchanged, and will pay close attention to the evolution of the situation overseas.
Japan’s Central Bank is also considering expanding its stimulus measures, the economy contracted in the second quarter and could fall back into recession. In a survey of 13 analysts polled by Reuters, 6 people said Japan’s Central Bank, on Friday (30th) meeting stimulus extended, and the inflation rate in the fiscal year ended March 2016 estimates of only 0.1%. September City North high tech or 92 in the table
Australia’s Central Bank has inflation unexpectedly decreased in the third quarter, faces cuts stress. Australia inflation rate in the third quarter fell to a three-year low, the RBA rate meeting will be held next Tuesday.